GDP per capita · Turkey
Turkey GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$18,892
Median forecast · p10-p90: $13,796 to $23,114
24 months forecast · 2027
$24,057
Median forecast · p10-p90: $16,843 to $32,248
36 months forecast · 2028
$25,697
Median forecast · p10-p90: $16,536 to $35,502
Latest observed: $18,599 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,102 | $1,960 | 40.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,191 | $3,928 | 0.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $6,351 | $6,063 | 0.0% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $18,599 | +17.03% |
| 2024 | $15,893 | +18.82% |
| 2023 | $13,375 | +22.73% |
| 2022 | $10,898 | +9.18% |
| 2021 | $9,982 | +13.45% |
| 2020 | $8,798 | −6.36% |
| 2019 | $9,395 | −2.98% |
| 2018 | $9,684 | −9.97% |
| 2017 | $10,756 | −2.08% |
| 2016 | $10,984 | −0.73% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.