Population forecast · World Bank data
Turkey population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
85.88M
The population of Turkey is forecast at 86.72M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 85.61M to 89.27M. The latest World Bank figure is 85.88M for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 86.82M and 87.30M (+1.7% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 86.30M▲ +0.5%80%: 85.74M – 87.57M
- 12 months2026
- 86.72M▲ +1.0%80%: 85.61M – 89.27M
- 24 months2027
- 86.82M▲ +1.1%80%: 85.25M – 90.26M
- 36 months2028
- 87.30M▲ +1.7%80%: 85.58M – 91.20M
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.72M | 0.50M | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 1.00M | 0.97M | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 1.38M | 1.40M | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 85.88M | +0.42% |
| 2024 | 85.52M | +0.23% |
| 2023 | 85.33M | +0.41% |
| 2022 | 84.98M | +0.99% |
| 2021 | 84.15M | +0.91% |
| 2020 | 83.38M | +0.98% |
| 2019 | 82.58M | +1.44% |
| 2018 | 81.41M | +1.36% |
| 2017 | 80.31M | +1.31% |
| 2016 | 79.28M | +1.35% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Turkey
Turkey overviewOther population forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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