GDP per capita · South Korea
South Korea GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$36,688
Median forecast · p10-p90: $32,845 to $41,450
24 months forecast · 2027
$37,166
Median forecast · p10-p90: $31,659 to $43,570
36 months forecast · 2028
$37,268
Median forecast · p10-p90: $30,147 to $45,235
Latest observed: $36,227 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $1,641 | $1,599 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $1,654 | $1,248 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $1,650 | $1,571 | 100.0% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $36,227 | −0.03% |
| 2024 | $36,239 | +1.58% |
| 2023 | $35,674 | +2.45% |
| 2022 | $34,822 | −7.19% |
| 2021 | $37,518 | +11.51% |
| 2020 | $33,646 | −0.54% |
| 2019 | $33,827 | −4.35% |
| 2018 | $35,364 | +6.21% |
| 2017 | $33,297 | +7.99% |
| 2016 | $30,832 | +2.19% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.