GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
South Africa GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$6,598
GDP per capita in South Africa is forecast at $6,507 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $5,566 to $7,774. The latest World Bank figure is $6,598 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $6,401 and $6,295 (−4.6% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $6,552▼ −0.7%80%: $6,082 – $7,186
- 12 months2026
- $6,507▼ −1.4%80%: $5,566 – $7,774
- 24 months2027
- $6,401▼ −3.0%80%: $5,134 – $8,058
- 36 months2028
- $6,295▼ −4.6%80%: $4,801 – $8,309
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $573 | $521 | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | $771 | $645 | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | $681 | $360 | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $6,598 | +5.27% |
| 2024 | $6,267 | +3.86% |
| 2023 | $6,034 | −7.65% |
| 2022 | $6,534 | −4.31% |
| 2021 | $6,829 | +22.37% |
| 2020 | $5,581 | −14.59% |
| 2019 | $6,534 | −5.50% |
| 2018 | $6,914 | +4.47% |
| 2017 | $6,618 | +17.11% |
| 2016 | $5,651 | −7.54% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for South Africa
South Africa overviewOther GDP per capita forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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