GDP per capita · Portugal
Portugal GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$33,233
Median forecast · p10-p90: $27,972 to $39,859
24 months forecast · 2027
$33,839
Median forecast · p10-p90: $27,438 to $42,014
36 months forecast · 2028
$34,032
Median forecast · p10-p90: $26,551 to $43,576
Latest observed: $32,082 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $1,887 | $1,993 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $2,943 | $3,600 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $5,343 | $5,804 | 33.3% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $32,082 | +9.39% |
| 2024 | $29,328 | +6.13% |
| 2023 | $27,635 | +12.24% |
| 2022 | $24,621 | −0.37% |
| 2021 | $24,711 | +10.82% |
| 2020 | $22,299 | −4.47% |
| 2019 | $23,343 | −0.84% |
| 2018 | $23,541 | +9.79% |
| 2017 | $21,442 | +7.32% |
| 2016 | $19,980 | +3.98% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.