GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
New Zealand GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$49,591
GDP per capita in New Zealand is forecast at $49,124 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $44,880 to $54,802. The latest World Bank figure is $49,591 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $49,203 and $49,828 (+0.5% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $49,357▼ −0.5%80%: $47,235 – $52,197
- 12 months2026
- $49,124▼ −0.9%80%: $44,880 – $54,802
- 24 months2027
- $49,203▼ −0.8%80%: $42,862 – $56,649
- 36 months2028
- $49,828▲ +0.5%80%: $41,603 – $58,843
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,161 | $1,811 | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | $2,730 | $2,067 | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | $3,464 | $2,722 | 67% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $49,591 | +0.32% |
| 2024 | $49,432 | +0.26% |
| 2023 | $49,302 | +0.33% |
| 2022 | $49,142 | −1.52% |
| 2021 | $49,902 | +18.66% |
| 2020 | $42,055 | −1.91% |
| 2019 | $42,872 | −0.77% |
| 2018 | $43,204 | +0.68% |
| 2017 | $42,912 | +7.04% |
| 2016 | $40,088 | +3.72% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for New Zealand
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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