Currencies · New Zealand
NZD/USD forecast
New Zealand dollar to US dollar exchange rate: USD per 1 NZD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
0.5763
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.5487 to 0.6041
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
0.5790
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.5468 to 0.6107
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
0.5819
Median forecast · p10-p90: 0.5436 to 0.6183
Latest observed: 0.5667 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in USD per 1 NZD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.0228 | 0.0215 | 91.2% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.0277 | 0.0255 | 88.9% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.0349 | 0.0281 | 93.8% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 0.5667 | +0.14% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 0.5659 | −0.23% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 0.5672 | −0.75% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 0.5715 | −0.07% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 0.5719 | +0.16% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 0.5710 | −0.45% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 0.5736 | −0.40% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 0.5759 | +0.03% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 0.5757 | −0.38% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 0.5779 | −0.65% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXUSNZ. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.