Population forecast · World Bank data
Mexico population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
131.9M
The population of Mexico is forecast at 133.8M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 132.0M to 135.7M. The latest World Bank figure is 131.9M for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 134.3M and 136.0M (+3.1% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 132.9M▲ +0.7%80%: 132.0M – 133.8M
- 12 months2026
- 133.8M▲ +1.4%80%: 132.0M – 135.7M
- 24 months2027
- 134.3M▲ +1.8%80%: 131.5M – 136.3M
- 36 months2028
- 136.0M▲ +3.1%80%: 132.6M – 139.1M
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.81M | 1.03M | 60% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.28M | 2.09M | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 0.28M | 3.16M | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 131.9M | +0.83% |
| 2024 | 130.9M | +0.86% |
| 2023 | 129.7M | +0.88% |
| 2022 | 128.6M | +0.76% |
| 2021 | 127.6M | +0.67% |
| 2020 | 126.8M | +0.82% |
| 2019 | 125.8M | +0.95% |
| 2018 | 124.6M | +0.95% |
| 2017 | 123.4M | +0.94% |
| 2016 | 122.3M | +0.97% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Mexico
Mexico overviewOther population forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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