Currencies · Mexico
USD/MXN forecast
US dollar to Mexican peso exchange rate: MXN per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
17.448
Median forecast · p10-p90: 16.667 to 18.832
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
17.375
Median forecast · p10-p90: 16.418 to 19.233
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
17.351
Median forecast · p10-p90: 15.903 to 19.746
Latest observed: 17.693 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in MXN per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.728 | 0.661 | 75.4% |
| 6 months | 54 | 1.235 | 1.123 | 59.3% |
| 12 months | 48 | 2.256 | 1.986 | 35.4% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 17.693 | +0.13% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 17.670 | +1.06% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 17.485 | +1.06% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 17.302 | +0.45% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 17.225 | −0.12% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 17.245 | +0.36% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 17.183 | +0.27% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 17.136 | −0.02% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 17.139 | +0.17% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 17.110 | +0.82% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXMXUS. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.