GDP per capita · Indonesia
Indonesia GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$4,972
Median forecast · p10-p90: $4,666 to $5,093
24 months forecast · 2027
$4,981
Median forecast · p10-p90: $4,459 to $5,259
36 months forecast · 2028
$4,970
Median forecast · p10-p90: $4,328 to $5,400
Latest observed: $5,060 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $353 | $241 | 60.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $687 | $461 | 50.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $1,097 | $663 | 66.7% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $5,060 | +2.72% |
| 2024 | $4,925 | +1.01% |
| 2023 | $4,876 | +3.07% |
| 2022 | $4,731 | +10.35% |
| 2021 | $4,287 | +11.25% |
| 2020 | $3,854 | −6.17% |
| 2019 | $4,107 | +6.37% |
| 2018 | $3,861 | +1.63% |
| 2017 | $3,799 | +7.88% |
| 2016 | $3,521 | +7.09% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.