Currencies · Taiwan
USD/TWD forecast
US dollar to Taiwan dollar exchange rate: TWD per 1 USD
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
3 months forecast · Dec 2026
32.021
Median forecast · p10-p90: 30.825 to 32.890
6 months forecast · Mar 2027
32.023
Median forecast · p10-p90: 30.435 to 33.145
12 months forecast · Sep 2027
31.997
Median forecast · p10-p90: 29.879 to 33.590
Latest observed: 31.820 · Sep 25, 2026
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
All values in TWD per 1 USD
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.770 | 0.779 | 78.9% |
| 6 months | 54 | 1.054 | 1.114 | 79.6% |
| 12 months | 48 | 1.236 | 1.494 | 83.3% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 31.820 | 0.00% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 31.820 | +0.28% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 31.730 | +0.06% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 31.710 | −0.13% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 31.750 | −0.22% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 31.820 | −0.22% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 31.890 | +0.28% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 31.800 | −0.19% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 31.860 | +0.28% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 31.770 | +0.41% |
Sources & limits
Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · DEXTAUS. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.