GDP per capita · Uruguay
Uruguay GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$25,213
Median forecast · p10-p90: $22,129 to $28,333
24 months forecast · 2027
$25,025
Median forecast · p10-p90: $20,193 to $29,759
36 months forecast · 2028
$24,640
Median forecast · p10-p90: $18,232 to $30,877
Latest observed: $25,216 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,336 | $1,892 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $4,386 | $3,971 | 50.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $6,943 | $6,085 | 66.7% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $25,216 | +3.73% |
| 2024 | $24,308 | +3.98% |
| 2023 | $23,379 | +11.28% |
| 2022 | $21,009 | +17.49% |
| 2021 | $17,882 | +13.48% |
| 2020 | $15,758 | −13.97% |
| 2019 | $18,316 | −4.85% |
| 2018 | $19,250 | +0.34% |
| 2017 | $19,185 | +12.79% |
| 2016 | $17,010 | −0.68% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.