GDP per capita · Russia
Russia GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$16,206
Median forecast · p10-p90: $13,299 to $19,983
24 months forecast · 2027
$16,093
Median forecast · p10-p90: $12,377 to $20,896
36 months forecast · 2028
$15,769
Median forecast · p10-p90: $11,414 to $21,402
Latest observed: $17,547 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $2,569 | $2,143 | 60.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $3,708 | $2,826 | 50.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $3,911 | $2,779 | 66.7% |
A simple no-change forecast had lower or equal average error at every horizon in these tests. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $17,547 | +17.28% |
| 2024 | $14,962 | +6.97% |
| 2023 | $13,987 | −10.49% |
| 2022 | $15,626 | +25.76% |
| 2021 | $12,425 | +22.92% |
| 2020 | $10,108 | −11.70% |
| 2019 | $11,448 | +2.10% |
| 2018 | $11,212 | +5.19% |
| 2017 | $10,659 | +23.04% |
| 2016 | $8,663 | −6.62% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.