GDP per capita · Ireland
Ireland GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$131,675
Median forecast · p10-p90: $99,616 to $161,754
24 months forecast · 2027
$150,955
Median forecast · p10-p90: $108,895 to $190,517
36 months forecast · 2028
$163,598
Median forecast · p10-p90: $115,007 to $208,515
Latest observed: $131,592 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $7,354 | $9,016 | 80.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $9,959 | $13,548 | 75.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $11,902 | $18,606 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $131,592 | +16.56% |
| 2024 | $112,895 | +5.69% |
| 2023 | $106,819 | +1.55% |
| 2022 | $105,191 | +1.36% |
| 2021 | $103,783 | +19.96% |
| 2020 | $86,514 | +5.73% |
| 2019 | $81,828 | +1.27% |
| 2018 | $80,804 | +11.98% |
| 2017 | $72,161 | +12.52% |
| 2016 | $64,130 | −0.19% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.