GDP per capita · Greece
Greece GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Model run: Sep 28, 2026 · TimesFM 2.5
12 months forecast · 2026
$28,616
Median forecast · p10-p90: $23,289 to $34,974
24 months forecast · 2027
$28,845
Median forecast · p10-p90: $21,643 to $37,155
36 months forecast · 2028
$27,757
Median forecast · p10-p90: $19,242 to $37,972
Latest observed: $26,948 · 2025
Choose a horizon
The median and range update together.
History & forecast
White: observed history. Blue: forecast median. Shaded: p10-p90 model range.
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
All values in Current US$
Model validation
| Horizon | Tests | Model errorModel | No-change errorNo change | Band coverageCoverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $1,229 | $1,812 | 100.0% |
| 24 months | 4 | $2,192 | $3,259 | 100.0% |
| 36 months | 3 | $4,123 | $5,165 | 100.0% |
In these tests the model had lower average error than a no-change forecast at all 3 horizons. Rolling backtests of this model on the latest revised history; overlapping forecast errors are not independent. The p10-p90 band is a model range, not a calibrated guarantee. Methodology · Forecast audit
Evidence & context
Source data
Source & observed data
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $26,948 | +9.43% |
| 2024 | $24,626 | +5.49% |
| 2023 | $23,344 | +11.77% |
| 2022 | $20,885 | +1.12% |
| 2021 | $20,653 | +15.46% |
| 2020 | $17,887 | −7.49% |
| 2019 | $19,335 | −2.71% |
| 2018 | $19,873 | +6.66% |
| 2017 | $18,632 | +3.98% |
| 2016 | $17,919 | −0.34% |
Sources & limits
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators · NY.GDP.PCAP.CD. Methodology · Forecast audit
Historical context
Outside the model
What could change this forecast?
A small, dated reading list. TimesFM sees the data series, not these stories. This context is not a trading signal.
No recent item selected for this series. We would rather leave this quiet than fill it with a weak match.
Selected for relevance, not a claim of causation. Source dates stay visible. Original reporting remains with its publisher.